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May 6'th 2010 Flash Crash Analysis
Continuing Developments

The New Game - Flickering Quotes

Publication Date: UNKNOWN

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One item we have uncovered is an exception of Rule 611 contained in Reg NMS. We believe this may hold another key in how the rapid firing of quotes can give an advantage.

To understand how one could exploit this exception, consider how the exchanges track their own internal NBBO:
  1. The exchanges don't use CQS for routing. This means they receive their information from direct links to other exchanges to compute the NBBO internally and route based on that. In other words, each exchange is recreating what CQS does. Due to the flickering quote exception, an exchange can ignore quotes from another exchange that are changing more than once per second.

  2. Because an exchange can ignore flickering quotes, you have no idea how the quotes are factored into the exchanges internal NBBO and therefore, no idea where the order will be routed to.

  3. CQS does not take the flickering quote exception into consideration -- CQS allows the quotes to set the NBBO.
If an entity broadcasts quotes rapidly that flicker the price and it is known these quotes will be ignored by an exchange but be broadcast to the public over CQS (and shown as the current NBBO), the entity may then have an advantage.

Consider the following sequences:


IPHS, 08/09/10: This repeater ran 50,000 quotes in 30 seconds, cycling the bid price from $29.45 to $30.20 every quote.


Zoom up the IPHS Sequence:




DUG, 08/10/10: This 400 quote per second repeater cycles the bid price in 2 steps.


Zoom of the DUG sequence:





To better understand this, we have created an application that reads historical data and produces a movie of how exchange routing works. The video below shows routing of GE orders on 05/06/2010:




Is this strategy being employed? We don't know. What we know is that it could be and in fact the concern was raised in Reg NMS:

Page 102:One commenter opposed the exception because it believed that it would create an arbitrage opportunity that could be taken advantage of by computerized market participants. Another commenter expressed concern that the exception would enable trading centers to execute trades internally and route orders using the worst quotation during the one second window.

We leave it to the regulatory agencies to determine if indeed market participants are taking advantage of this exception. It certainly would explain a few of the rapid fire price/cycling high rate quote burst we see on a daily basis and present on our "Crop Circle of the Day" page.




Inquiries: pr@nanex.net

Publication Date: UNKOWN
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